The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 62¢
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
Macro · resolves May 19 · vol $279.24
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 62¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the non-gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 27.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.