The market moved
+1.4ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 1?
Weather · resolves Jun 1 · vol $1.2K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.