The market moved

+0.3ppin 24h · now 99¢

Will the highest temperature in Austin be 82°F or higher on May 28?

Weather · resolves May 28 · vol $503.74

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.