The market moved
-2.4ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 16?
Weather · resolves May 16 · vol $189.44
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.