The market moved

+46.5ppin 24h · now 76¢

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?

Weather · resolves Jun 1 · vol $3.6K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 76¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 46.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 7.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.