The market moved
+4.0ppin 24h · now 27¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 5?
Weather · resolves Jun 5 · vol $1.9K
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 27¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 9.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.