The market moved
+0.6ppin 24h · now 99¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on June 3?
Weather · resolves Jun 3 · vol $958.79
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 5.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.