The market moved
+20.5ppin 24h · now 66¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 23?
Weather · resolves Aug 23 · vol $9.4K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 66¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 20.5pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.