The market moved

+3.5ppin 24h · now 85¢

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on June 1?

Weather · resolves Jun 1 · vol $726.21

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 85¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 6.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.