The market moved
-11.0ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 12?
Weather · resolves Jul 12 · vol $303.05
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 1.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.