The market moved

+5.1ppin 24h · now 99¢

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 14?

Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $5.2K

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.1pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 29.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+5.1pp · Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 14? | Orrery