The market moved
-0.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on May 15?
Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $1.2K
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.