The market moved

-11.5ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 26?

Weather · resolves May 26 · vol $287.79

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 16.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.