The market moved
-5.3ppin 24h · now 3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 2?
Weather · resolves Jun 2 · vol $329.86
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 29.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.