The market moved

-17.5ppin 24h · now 10¢

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 14?

Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $711.71

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 10¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 29.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.