The market moved
+1.4ppin 24h · now 99¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on May 29?
Weather · resolves May 29 · vol $1.8K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 99¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 25.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.