The market moved
-7.0ppin 24h · now 16¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 24?
Weather · resolves Jun 24 · vol $688.20
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 16¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 2.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.