The market moved
-17.0ppin 24h · now 23¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 23?
Weather · resolves Aug 23 · vol $4.9K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.0pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.