The market moved
+16.0ppin 24h · now 41¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2?
Weather · resolves Jun 2 · vol $958.31
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 41¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 30.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.