The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 2?
Weather · resolves Jul 2 · vol $970.16
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 26.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.