The market moved
-6.3ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C or below on April 6?
Weather · resolves Apr 6 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.3pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.