The market moved
-7.9ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on June 14?
Weather · resolves Jun 14 · vol $2.1K
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.9pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.