The market moved

-0.8ppin 24h · now

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 5?

Weather · resolves Jun 5 · vol $4.1K

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.8pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.