The market moved
-1.5ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 23?
Weather · resolves Aug 23 · vol $727.81
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 4¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.