The market moved
-0.5ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 1?
Weather · resolves Jun 1 · vol $622.59
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 3.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.