The market moved

-5.6ppin 24h · now

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on May 16?

Weather · resolves May 16 · vol $844.46

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.6pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.