The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 9¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 21?
Weather · resolves Jun 21 · vol $727.18
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.