The market moved

+92.3ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on April 19?

Weather · resolves Apr 19 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 92.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.