The market moved

-1.0ppin 24h · now 12¢

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 31?

Weather · resolves May 31 · vol $587.25

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 26.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.