The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 15?

Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $784.99

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 44.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.