The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 17¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 14?
Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $997.67
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 17¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 30.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
