The market moved

-16.0ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 2?

Weather · resolves Jul 2 · vol $1.9K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 23¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 25.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.