The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 15?
Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $16.88
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 4¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on weather.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: weather.gov — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
