The market moved
+0.5ppin 24h · now 21¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?
Weather · resolves May 14 · vol $1.4K
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 21¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 30.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
