The market moved
-3.1ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 3?
Weather · resolves Jul 3 · vol $516.77
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.1pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 5.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.