The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 15?
Weather · resolves May 15 · vol $398.74
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 30.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.