The market moved

+55.5ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 31°C on August 8?

Weather · resolves Aug 8 · vol $1.1K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 55.5pp shift. Resolution depends on the highest temperature recorded in the 'daily observations' table on weather underground, not the figure displayed in t — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in t — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.