The market moved
-26.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
Honor of Kings: JD Gaming vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2
Sports · resolves May 16 · vol $3.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 26.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
- Market resolves in 2.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.