The market moved

-2.2ppin 24h · now

House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?

Geopolitics · resolves Feb 27 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.2pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information — https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-concurrent-resolution/38/text).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.