The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 48¢
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Other · resolves Aug 14 · vol $26.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 48¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 11.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.