The market moved
-27.5ppin 24h · now 0¢
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NK Slaven Belupo: NK Slaven Belupo 1st Half O/U 0.5
Other · resolves Aug 1 · vol $87.16
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 27.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.