The market moved
+5.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?
Sports · resolves Oct 27 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the rcp polling averages for trump and harris on the day rfk jr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr — https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.