The market moved
-29.2ppin 24h · now 0¢
Iran military response tonight?
Geopolitics · resolves Aug 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 29.2pp shift. Resolution depends on iranian government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Iranian government — https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1820526748347593026).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.