The market moved

-3.4ppin 24h · now

Is there less than 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?

Other · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.4pp shift. Resolution depends on department of government efficiency — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Government Efficiency — https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/gold-report/21-02.html).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.