The market moved
+8.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Israel strike on Iran on June 15?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 20 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 8.9pp shift. Resolution depends on israeli government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Israeli government.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.