The market moved
+39.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Geopolitics · resolves Oct 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 39.4pp shift. Resolution depends on x.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: x.com — https://x.com/IDF/status/1901802698237935705).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.