The market moved
-2.9ppin 24h · now 0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?
Geopolitics · resolves Feb 15 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.9pp shift. Resolution depends on reuters — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: reuters — https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-gaza-ceasefire-should-end-saturday-if-hostages-not-released-2025-02-10/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.