The market moved
-9.0ppin 24h · now 20¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
Geopolitics · resolves Jun 15 · vol $876.34
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official government information — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official government information.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.