The market moved
-24.0ppin 24h · now 49¢
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Geopolitics · resolves Aug 31 · vol $1.1K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 49¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.