The market moved

-13.5ppin 24h · now 80¢

ITF Sao Paulo: Juan Estevez vs Joao Vitor Scramin Do Lago

Sports · resolves Jul 29 · vol $17.6K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 80¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.